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Tweet Through games of Mar 13, 2016.

North Florida

Conference:ASun
Expected RPI:161.0
Current RPI:161
Expected SOS:310
Current Record:19-11
Expected Record:19-11
Current Conf Record:11-5
Expected Conf Record:11-5
Expected Conf Tourney Record:0-0
Probability of Auto Bid:0.00%
Expected Record vs RPI 1-25:0-2
Expected Record vs RPI 26-50:0-1
Expected Record vs RPI 51-100:0-1
Expected Record vs RPI 101-200:3-1
Expected Record vs RPI 200+:16-6
Current OOC Record:8-6
Expected OOC Record:8-6
Expected OOC RPI:112
Expected OOC SOS:226


RPI FORECAST by FINAL RECORD

Here is the RPI forecast broken down by final record along with the probability of the final record:
Note that for results with very small probabilities, the estimate of the RPI is less precise.

Final RecordW-L pctg.Expected RPIProbability
19-1163.33%161.0100.00%

NEW!: Change any future/past game to a win/loss/prob(win) and see the resulting predicted RPI:

Schedule, Results and Probabilities

Here are the schedule and probabilities of winning for North Florida.
These are the probabilities that are used in the simulations.
They are based entirely on Jeff Sagarin's PREDICTOR.
The projected records are calculated by combining these probabilities and may be different than summing up the projections for each individual game.

DateOpponent (Expected RPI)ConfLocScoreOutcomeProb(W)Spread
11-13Illinois (149.0)B10A81-93W100%0.0
11-16UT Rio Grande Valley (338.0)WACH106-84W100%0.0
11-21Louisville (17.0)ACCA89-61L0%0.0
11-24Saint Louis (206.0)A10A70-57L0%0.0
11-27Hartford (292.0)AEA60-81W100%0.0
11-28St. Francis NY (276.0)NECN65-78W100%0.0
12-2LSU (94.0)SECA119-108L0%0.0
12-5Dayton (21.0)A10A86-71L0%0.0
12-14FIU (270.0)CUSAH94-72W100%0.0
12-16Austin Peay (184.0)OVCH80-70W100%0.0
12-19Florida A&M (349.0)MEACH87-70W100%0.0
12-22Arkansas (133.0)SECA97-72L0%0.0
12-30VCU (37.0)A10A80-68L0%0.0
1-2Eastern Michigan (113.0)MACA77-82W100%0.0
1-6Stetson (303.0)ASunA79-97W100%0.0
1-9Jacksonville (289.0)ASunH83-68W100%0.0
1-14Lipscomb (269.0)ASunH95-83W100%0.0
1-16Kennesaw St. (263.0)ASunH93-78W100%0.0
1-21USC Upstate (324.0)ASunA62-78W100%0.0
1-24NJIT (207.0)ASunA80-94W100%0.0
1-30Florida Gulf Coast (209.0)ASunH82-76W100%0.0
2-1Stetson (303.0)ASunH82-86L0%0.0
2-6Florida Gulf Coast (209.0)ASunA81-65L0%0.0
2-11Kennesaw St. (263.0)ASunA101-91L0%0.0
2-13Lipscomb (269.0)ASunA94-87L0%0.0
2-18NJIT (207.0)ASunH107-71W100%0.0
2-20USC Upstate (324.0)ASunH81-78W100%0.0
2-25Jacksonville (289.0)ASunA80-81W100%0.0
3-1USC Upstate (324.0)ASunH92-69W100%0.0
3-3Florida Gulf Coast (209.0)ASunH56-89L0%0.0